Summary: This report presents a statistical analysis of data given in 3,059 reports involving observations of anomalous phenomena or objects on or near the ground resulting in physical residues generated by the observed phenomena or objects. These observations took place in 91 countries between 1490 and 2004.
INTRODUCTION
This report presents a statistical analysis of data given in
3,059 reports involving observations of anomalous phenomena or
objects on or near the ground resulting in physical residues
generated by the observed phenomena or objects. These
observations took place in 91 countries between 1490 and 2004.
The analysis permits certain regularities of these phenomena to
be brought out. The data indicates there is a certain type of
phenomenon which shows stable statistical properties.
This research began in 1968 and after 36 years it is yet
premature to consider the nature of these phenomena on the basis
of the data presented to date. The developments of methods of
obtaining more reliable data and expansion of the initial
information used will result in a database of the most important
piece of the UFO puzzle - physical evidence.
At this point there seems to be no relation to the more popular
crop circles which are much larger and complex than UFO landing
sites. The current problem is the inclination on the part of
investigators to identify possible landing sites as crop circles
- if it's circular, it must be a crop circle.
SUGGESTED FUTURE RESEARCH
To obtain more definite conclusions, more reliable and detailed
data must be obtained. These events must be well documented and
sampled for laboratory analysis. There needs to be a central
repository for landing/physical evidence events. Currently, the
data is scattered among numerous investigators in many
countries.
A central repository should produce interim reports to be
available to the general public and serious investigators. This
will produce new data and a much more complete database. The
entire database should be available in some form as physical
trace events will give us the most substantial evidence for - or
against - the existence of Unidentified Flying Objects.
Fig. 1 - DISTRIBUTION OF EVENTS BY YEAR
Pre 1900       24 cases       0.78%
1900 - 1939    22 cases       0.72%
1940 - 1949    28 cases       0.92%
1950 - 1959    303 cases      9.91%
1960 - 1969    534 cases     17.46%
1970 - 1979   1109 cases     36.25%
1980 - 1989    498 cases     16.28%
1990 - 1999    435 cases     14.22%
2000 - 2004    106 cases      3.46%
Fig. 2 - PEAK YEAR DISTRIBUTION
1954           105 CASES      3.43%
1969           133 CASES      4.35%
1973           159 CASES      5.20%
1974           125 CASES      4.01%
1975           147 CASES      4.81%
1976           114 CASES      3.73%
1977           119 CASES      3.90%
1979           121 CASES      4.00%
1980           103 CASES      3.37%
TOTALS         1126 CASES    36.80%
Fig. 3 - PEAK TIME DISTRIBUTION
             (local times)
2300           256 cases
2000           251 cases
2100           245 cases
2200           200 cases
0200           142 cases
2400           137 cases
1900           137 cases
0400           124 cases
1700           119 cases
1800            98 cases
Fig. 4 - PEAK  DISTRIBUTION COUNTRIES
United States  979 cases
France         245 cases
Canada         214 cases
Brazil         199 cases
Italy          184 cases
Australia      168 cases
England        168 cases
New Zealand    153 cases
Argentina      122 cases
Venezuela       93 cases
              ----------
              2525 cases
Fig. 5 - PEAK DISTRIBUTION STATES
Missouri        43 cases
Iowa            39 cases
Illinois        38 cases
California      35 cases
Indiana         33 cases
Multiple Witness Events: 40.4% (1,236 cases)
Occupants/Beings Reported:    23.9% (731 cases)
More than one being seen:     63.2% (461 cases)
Being described as small:     57.1% (417 cases)
Fig. 6 - SHAPE DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECTS
Circular          57.2%
Oval              21.2%
Sphere            14.6%
Cylinder/Cigar     6.0%
Various Shapes     1.0%
Fig. 7 - OBJECT COLOR
Metallic          59.6%
Red               11.0%
White             10.1%
Orange-Red         5.5%
Orange             3.7%
Yellow             3.7%
Blue-White         2.8%
Green              2.8%
Gold               0.8%
Fig. 8 - SOUND RELATED TO OBJECT
Sound Heard         9.3%
Whistling          31.1%
Humming            22.6%
Hissing            11.3%
Buzzing            11.1%
Beeping            10.0%
"Electronic"       10.0%
Roaring             4.9%
Graph below indicates the object dimensions as estimated by
witnesses. Dimensions in meters are as follows;
A: one - three              B: four - seven
C: eight - twelve           D: twelve  - sixteen
E: seventeen - twenty-one   F: twenty-two - twenty-five
G: twenty-five +