Summary: The magnitude of UFO waves varies in intensity both in time and space. There is, however, at the moment, no method or any attempt by any researcher to accurately quantify a UFO wave.
The magnitude of UFO waves varies in intensity both in time and space. There is, however, at the moment, no method or any attempt by any researcher to accurately quantify a UFO wave. Terms such as a minor wave, a major wave, flaps and flurry of UFO sightings has been used loosely to describe the concentration of sighting reports in a given geographical area. In actual fact, the terms does not give us the true picture of the intensity or magnitude of the waves.
What actually triggers a UFO wave?. Is there an astrophysical, a geophysical or psychological process which is conducive for the phenomenon to appear in large numbers in a confined geographical area?. To find the answer, our method of defining UFO waves has to be more precise.
For a start, we could use a scale akin to that used to quantify the intensity of earthquakes. Just like the Mercalli or the Richter Scales, we can give an intensity scale of 1 to 10 for UFO waves. Since we are not measuring the natural forces released in the ground, the UFO picture is a little more complicated.
When we talked about UFO waves, we have to take into account the space and time factors, the number of sighting reports, the number of humanoid or UFO occupant encounters. Since a UFO wave is directly proportional to all these factors, any deficiency in its documentation could result in the magnitude of the wave being recorded wrongly.
At the moment, we at a loss to say whether the Mexican wave of 1991 is more intense or larger than the 1996 United Kingdom wave or is the 1993 Israeli wave bigger than the 1968 Spanish wave.
Since we have no proper measurement for all these waves, I would like to suggest this simple calibration method. It is based on the following observations : an intense wave must cover a bigger area, a longer duration, must have more landing reports and the occupants associated with the UFOs must also be sighted on many occasions. Any drop in these observations, must also denote a drop in the intensity of the waves.
Based on these factors, the magnitude of the UFO waves could be determined as below:
Wave area divided by the duration ( in kilometers & weeks respectively).
The result is further divided by 100 .
Add the assigned number for the number of CE3 cases documented ( refer table ).
Since we do not have the actual number of humanoid encounters, the table below simplifies the problem by assigning a given number to the approximate number of CE3 cases documented.
Table to determine the assigned number for CE3 cases.
Assigned Number Number of CE3 cases Documented
Based on this formula, below is listed some of the UFO waves and its magnitudes.
YEAR COUNTRY AREA DURATION RESULT + MAGNITUDE.
( km ) ( weeks ) CE3 No.
1896 California 500 2 2.5 + 1 3.5
1909 England 400 6 0.6 +1 1.6
1933 Scandinavia 750 7 1.1 +1 2.1
1946 Scandinavia 1350 8 1.7 + 1 2.7
1954 France 750 10 0.75+6 6.7
1968 Spain 1000 12 0.83+1 1.8
1972 S.Africa 1450 10 1.45+1 2.4
1973 SE USA 2000 8 2.5+4 6.5
1978 Italy 950 6 1.58+3 4.6
1979 Philippines 700 10 0.7+1 1.7
The above scale is just a guideline and subjected to change. I welcome suggestions and recommendations from other workers so that we could have a truly indicative and accurate scale to the true magnitude of UFO waves.
Once we have the proper indicator of the intensity of UFO waves, perhaps we could understand better on the periodicity and the underlying mechanisms which might have started the waves.